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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.49+12.44vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.85+3.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy0.51+7.67vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.03+4.89vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26-0.23vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65+0.86vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.55vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03+4.06vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.47-1.53vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45-5.80vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.53-3.69vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71-5.49vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.49+0.44vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.06-5.11vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-5.83vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.78-1.66vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.16-4.05vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.15-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.44Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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8.89Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.77Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.86Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.55Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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12.06SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.47Old Dominion University1.470.0%1st Place
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4.2Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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7.31Villanova University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.51Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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13.44Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.89Syracuse University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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14.34Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.95Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.97William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Little | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 17.7% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.