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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.46+3.15vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.56-1.27vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.45vs Predicted
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7American University-1.03-2.11vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.46-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.35William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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3.32University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Maryland0.560.2%1st Place
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3.55SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.89American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.15Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Vrooman | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 34.0% | 27.6% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 16.1% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 24.0% | 23.3% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 48.2% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.