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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.46+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.56+0.73vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.05+0.42vs Predicted
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4American University-1.03+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.49vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.46-1.84vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Maryland0.560.3%1st Place
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3.42SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.81American University-1.030.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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4.16Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.38William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Vrooman | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 25.9% | 25.3% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 14.6% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 47.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 13.0% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 33.7% | 24.7% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.