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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+1.40vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.46+2.12vs Predicted
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3American University-1.03+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.56-2.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.53vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.46-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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4.12Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.82American University-1.030.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Maryland0.560.2%1st Place
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3.47SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.12Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 34.0% | 25.3% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 24.6% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 51.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 15.4% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 22.7% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 13.7% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 24.6% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.