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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+1.38vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.46+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.56-1.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.44vs Predicted
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7American University-1.03-2.11vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.46-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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4.11Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Maryland0.560.2%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.89American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.11Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 34.6% | 26.4% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 26.4% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 24.5% | 22.7% | 24.3% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 13.3% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 26.4% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.