← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland0.56+1.77vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.87+0.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.38vs Predicted
-
4American University-1.03+0.83vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.46-0.76vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.56vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-0.46-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.77University of Maryland0.560.2%1st Place
-
2.34William and Mary0.870.4%1st Place
-
3.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
-
4.83American University-1.030.1%1st Place
-
4.24Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
-
3.44SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
-
4.24Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Johnston | 23.4% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 35.8% | 25.0% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 14.6% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 48.6% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 14.3% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.