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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+1.39vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.46+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.56-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.64vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.46vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.46-2.90vs Predicted
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8American University-1.03-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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4.1Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Maryland0.560.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.2%1st Place
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3.54SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.1Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.88American University-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 33.4% | 27.4% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 25.0% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 16.0% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 13.1% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 21.0% | 49.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.