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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+2.40vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.56-0.29vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.46+0.15vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.46vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.46-2.85vs Predicted
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8American University-1.03-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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2.34William and Mary0.870.4%1st Place
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2.71University of Maryland0.560.3%1st Place
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4.15Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.54SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.15Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.87American University-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Haksteen | 14.6% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 35.8% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 25.1% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 12.7% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 22.5% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.