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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+6.59vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+5.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.70vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+4.36vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07+2.74vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.90+2.76vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.06+5.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91+0.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-0.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+2.65vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-2.23vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.70vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.71-8.05vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-3.01vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-4.94vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.94vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.58-6.94vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut2.59-3.80vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.30-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.76Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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13.15Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.11Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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13.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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9.77Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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11.06Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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12.47Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| John Stokes | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| William Bowman | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Colin Smith | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 14.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| John Giuliano | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 28.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.