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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.05+2.48vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.56-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-0.62vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.46-1.77vs Predicted
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7American University-1.03-2.13vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.46-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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2.35William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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2.7University of Maryland0.560.3%1st Place
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3.38University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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4.23Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.87American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.23Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Murphy | 13.5% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 34.0% | 27.6% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 25.9% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 14.9% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 48.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 23.8% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.