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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.46+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.56+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.31vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87-1.64vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.44vs Predicted
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6American University-1.03-1.12vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.46-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Maryland0.560.3%1st Place
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3.31University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.2%1st Place
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2.36William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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3.56SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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4.88American University-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.15Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Vrooman | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 25.1% | 25.5% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 16.4% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 32.9% | 26.5% | 20.9% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 13.7% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 23.4% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.