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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.46+3.14vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.56-0.28vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.46+0.14vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.53vs Predicted
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7American University-1.03-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.35William and Mary0.870.3%1st Place
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2.72University of Maryland0.560.3%1st Place
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4.14Virginia Tech-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.43SUNY Stony Brook0.050.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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4.89American University-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Vrooman | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 33.9% | 28.0% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 26.1% | 20.9% | 23.1% | 17.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| John Vrooman | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 14.4% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 13.2% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Milite | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 23.6% | 48.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.