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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.48+2.58vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.790.00vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.33-0.64vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.26-1.65vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.48-3.42vs Predicted
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8American University-1.82-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.0SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
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3.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.58Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.22American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Anderson | 12.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 22.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 45.3% | 26.6% | 16.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 12.9% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 14.4% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 12.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 22.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 63.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.