← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.48+2.61vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.26+1.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland-0.33+0.32vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.45vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.91vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.48-2.39vs Predicted
-
7American University-1.82-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.61Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.22William and Mary-0.260.2%1st Place
-
3.32University of Maryland-0.330.2%1st Place
-
3.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
-
2.09SUNY Stony Brook0.790.4%1st Place
-
3.61Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
-
5.21American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Anderson | 11.6% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 15.7% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 15.1% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 18.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 12.8% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 22.0% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 42.2% | 28.1% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 11.6% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 23.7% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 64.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.