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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.48+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+1.53vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.33-1.65vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.48-2.40vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-3.62vs Predicted
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8American University-1.82-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.93SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
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3.35University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.6Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.38William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.21American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Anderson | 10.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 11.8% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 47.9% | 25.2% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 14.1% | 17.1% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 10.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 13.4% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 21.1% | 18.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.