← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland-0.33+2.39vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary-0.26+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-0.48+0.52vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.03vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.48-3.48vs Predicted
-
8American University-1.82-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
-
3.24William and Mary-0.260.2%1st Place
-
3.52Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
-
1.97SUNY Stony Brook0.790.4%1st Place
-
3.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.52Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
-
5.21American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Stoner | 13.4% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 15.8% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 13.6% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 43.8% | 28.9% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 11.1% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 13.6% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 22.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 62.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.