← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.48+2.04vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.26vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.26-1.20vs Predicted
-
5American University-1.82-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.48-2.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.04Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
-
1.74SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
-
2.8William and Mary-0.260.2%1st Place
-
4.35American University-1.820.0%1st Place
-
3.04Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.07University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Anderson | 14.4% | 20.4% | 25.1% | 27.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 52.0% | 27.6% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 17.3% | 24.6% | 27.4% | 22.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 64.2% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 14.4% | 20.4% | 25.1% | 27.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 13.2% | 21.3% | 24.8% | 27.1% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.