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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.48+2.07vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.99vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.26-2.19vs Predicted
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6American University-1.82-1.65vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.48-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.75SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
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3.01University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.81William and Mary-0.260.2%1st Place
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4.35American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.07Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Anderson | 14.2% | 19.0% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 51.9% | 27.1% | 15.1% | 5.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 14.4% | 20.4% | 26.4% | 27.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 16.6% | 27.0% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 14.2% | 19.0% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.