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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.33+2.39vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.48+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.52vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.04vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.26-1.62vs Predicted
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7American University-1.82-1.80vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.48-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.55Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.96SUNY Stony Brook0.790.4%1st Place
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3.38William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.2American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.55Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Stoner | 13.0% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 12.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 13.2% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 22.7% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 44.9% | 28.2% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 14.5% | 16.4% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 12.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.