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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of Tennessee1.50+2.80vs Predicted
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3Vanderbilt University1.99+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.90+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina1.40-0.02vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.70-1.58vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.16-0.16vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.14-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56College of Charleston3.950.6%1st Place
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4.8University of Tennessee1.500.1%1st Place
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3.94Vanderbilt University1.990.1%1st Place
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4.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.900.1%1st Place
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4.98University of North Carolina1.400.0%1st Place
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4.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.700.1%1st Place
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6.84North Carolina State University0.160.0%1st Place
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5.33Clemson University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 62.5% | 24.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Toney | 5.1% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 7.5% |
| Andrew King | 9.2% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Brandon Johnson | 7.9% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| John Mellnik | 4.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 9.1% |
| Clinton Hodges | 6.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Davis Dulin | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 57.0% |
| Austin Nettles | 2.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.