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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.97vs Predicted
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2Boston University4.07+6.63vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.52vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.06+9.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.53vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+3.54vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.93+2.64vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.30+4.18vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.58+1.90vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.76vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.59+4.37vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-2.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-4.47vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-4.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.36-3.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-3.52vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.89-8.43vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-8.16vs Predicted
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20Tufts University3.56-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.37Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.54Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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12.18Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.9Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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10.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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13.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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9.57Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Bowman | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| John Giuliano | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 29.3% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Kana | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.