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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.33+2.42vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.48+0.55vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.44vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.48-2.45vs Predicted
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7American University-1.82-1.78vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Maryland-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.55Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.97SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
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3.56University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.55Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.22American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.29William and Mary-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Stoner | 13.0% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 11.4% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 45.7% | 26.7% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 12.8% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 11.4% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 64.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 14.4% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.