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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.48+2.07vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.26vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.26-0.22vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.48-1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.95vs Predicted
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7American University-1.82-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.74SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
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2.78William and Mary-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.07Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.36American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Anderson | 13.9% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 53.1% | 26.4% | 14.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 17.9% | 25.0% | 25.5% | 24.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 13.9% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 12.3% | 22.6% | 24.2% | 29.3% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 66.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.