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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.66vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.48+0.84vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.17vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.48-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66SUNY Stony Brook0.790.5%1st Place
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2.84Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.67William and Mary-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.84Virginia Tech-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Gilmore III | 54.7% | 28.8% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 14.1% | 21.9% | 29.6% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Powers | 17.0% | 26.1% | 29.5% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 14.2% | 23.2% | 28.5% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Donald Anderson | 14.1% | 21.9% | 29.6% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.