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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.56+1.19vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University0.12+2.04vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.07+1.16vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.48-0.43vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-1.92vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.24-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19McGill University1.560.4%1st Place
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4.04Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.16McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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3.57Bates College0.480.1%1st Place
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3.08Amherst College0.890.2%1st Place
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3.96Middlebury College0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Torrie | 38.9% | 27.8% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 26.4% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 9.3% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 27.0% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 14.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 13.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 18.6% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.