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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.56+1.18vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.24+1.90vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.48+0.59vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.89-1.02vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.07-0.78vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18McGill University1.560.4%1st Place
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3.9Middlebury College0.240.1%1st Place
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3.59Bates College0.480.1%1st Place
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2.98Amherst College0.890.2%1st Place
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4.22McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.13Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Torrie | 40.0% | 26.2% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 9.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 21.0% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 13.0% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 13.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 20.0% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 5.4% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 30.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.