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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.56+1.16vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.48+1.54vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.07+1.14vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University0.12+0.08vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.24-0.96vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16McGill University1.560.4%1st Place
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3.54Bates College0.480.1%1st Place
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4.14McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.08Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.04Middlebury College0.240.1%1st Place
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3.04Amherst College0.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Torrie | 40.3% | 27.4% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 12.6% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 13.9% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 26.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 26.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 25.7% |
| Noah Brayer | 19.3% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.