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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.56+1.17vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.89+0.99vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.24+0.93vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.48-0.42vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.07-0.77vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.12-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17McGill University1.560.4%1st Place
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2.99Amherst College0.890.2%1st Place
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3.93Middlebury College0.240.1%1st Place
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3.58Bates College0.480.1%1st Place
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4.23McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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4.1Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Torrie | 38.3% | 28.6% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 21.0% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 21.1% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 13.7% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 30.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.