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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.24+2.93vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.56+0.16vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.12+1.04vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.48-0.40vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.07-0.73vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.89-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Middlebury College0.240.1%1st Place
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2.16McGill University1.560.4%1st Place
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4.04Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.6Bates College0.480.1%1st Place
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4.27McGill University0.070.1%1st Place
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3.0Amherst College0.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Forsberg | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 22.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 39.5% | 28.3% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 10.1% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 23.5% | 23.9% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 11.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 13.9% |
| Arthur Olivenstein | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 31.7% |
| Noah Brayer | 21.1% | 20.5% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.