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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.42+1.22vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.21+0.40vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+0.27vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.40-0.45vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.27-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22McGill University0.420.3%1st Place
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2.4McGill University0.210.3%1st Place
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3.2Sacred Heart University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.55Bates College-1.400.0%1st Place
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4.36Middlebury College-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Guiton | 34.9% | 30.8% | 19.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Maddy Crowley | 32.9% | 25.3% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| David Tampellini | 15.0% | 18.7% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 5.3% |
| Joshua Linker | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 24.7% | 26.4% |
| William Seider | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 34.9% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 24.9% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.