← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.42+1.21vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.21+0.40vs Predicted
-
3Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.19vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.27+0.34vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-1.40-0.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21McGill University0.420.3%1st Place
-
2.4McGill University0.210.3%1st Place
-
3.19Sacred Heart University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
4.34Middlebury College-1.270.1%1st Place
-
4.55Bates College-1.400.0%1st Place
-
4.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Guiton | 35.0% | 30.6% | 20.0% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Maddy Crowley | 32.9% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| David Tampellini | 15.0% | 18.7% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 14.2% | 5.4% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 27.2% | 27.4% |
| William Seider | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 35.2% |
| Joshua Linker | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.