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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+5.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+7.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+6.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+4.25vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+4.40vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+4.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+4.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.09+0.39vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.58+1.91vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+2.59vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.06vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.06+0.71vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-4.95vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-3.02vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-4.90vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-4.85vs Predicted
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18Boston University4.07-9.21vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.91-9.62vs Predicted
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20University of Connecticut2.59-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.68Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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10.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.91Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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13.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.71Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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15.43University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Bowman | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| John Giuliano | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.