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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.21+1.47vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.42+0.17vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.40+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+0.24vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.69vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.27-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47McGill University0.210.3%1st Place
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2.17McGill University0.420.4%1st Place
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4.47Bates College-1.400.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.31Sacred Heart University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Crowley | 27.9% | 28.4% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Francis Guiton | 39.5% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| William Seider | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 25.5% | 33.3% |
| Joshua Linker | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 26.1% | 24.7% |
| David Tampellini | 13.1% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 9.1% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.