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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.42+1.22vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.21+0.41vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.40+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+0.24vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.68vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.27-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22McGill University0.420.3%1st Place
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2.41McGill University0.210.3%1st Place
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4.46Bates College-1.400.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.32Sacred Heart University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Guiton | 34.4% | 31.3% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Maddy Crowley | 32.5% | 25.7% | 20.5% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| William Seider | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 25.5% | 33.0% |
| Joshua Linker | 6.7% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 25.8% | 24.7% |
| David Tampellini | 13.4% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 23.8% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.