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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.21+1.45vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.42+0.16vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.20vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.27+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-0.65vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.40-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45McGill University0.210.3%1st Place
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2.16McGill University0.420.4%1st Place
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3.2Sacred Heart University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.32Middlebury College-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.1%1st Place
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4.53Bates College-1.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Crowley | 28.0% | 28.8% | 23.2% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Francis Guiton | 39.8% | 26.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| David Tampellini | 14.7% | 19.4% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 5.4% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 27.0% | 27.5% |
| Joshua Linker | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 24.1% | 29.1% |
| William Seider | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 24.6% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.