Race 1A

neisa-invitational-mit

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Zachary Hall 11.0% 8.6% 11.7% 13.8% 13.5% 11.7% 11.6% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 6.8% 8.0% 9.8% 10.5% 11.5% 10.6% 12.1% 13.7% 10.7% 4.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 13.4% 9.5% 14.5% 12.9% 12.4% 12.2% 11.1% 7.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 4.6% 4.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.9% 10.8% 11.3% 15.4% 14.8% 9.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Dakota Northrup 17.9% 20.9% 14.0% 13.6% 10.8% 9.7% 6.1% 3.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 4.4% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 8.4% 10.0% 13.9% 13.5% 16.5% 9.7% 3.9% 0.6%
Louis Frumer 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 10.6% 12.8% 16.8% 14.8% 6.1% 1.2%
Annie Hughes 15.3% 13.8% 11.5% 13.1% 11.2% 11.9% 9.4% 7.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Jorge Castro 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 5.1% 8.7% 22.3% 33.5% 20.9%
River Iannaccone 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 6.2% 10.4% 24.3% 30.8% 13.3%
Nicholas Karnovsky 19.5% 20.0% 16.2% 12.1% 12.9% 8.1% 6.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sabrina McDonnell 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 7.4% 19.3% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.