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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+3.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+0.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.58+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.27+4.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-2.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81-0.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.53vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.41vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.91+1.09vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-0.88vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.6University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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3.49Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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11.09Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.12Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 19.4% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 23.7% | 31.1% | 13.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 21.4% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 13.6% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 8.9% | 21.2% | 59.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 19.9% | 32.9% | 24.4% |
| Preston Duclos | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.