Race 3A

neisa-invitational-mit

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Paige 5.3% 5.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.7% 8.9% 13.4% 15.0% 16.6% 10.3% 3.6% 0.8%
Zachary Hall 9.3% 12.6% 11.0% 12.8% 12.4% 12.0% 10.7% 10.4% 6.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Dakota Northrup 18.8% 17.6% 16.2% 13.2% 11.7% 10.2% 6.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 4.6% 4.9% 6.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.5% 14.4% 13.2% 14.4% 11.2% 3.6% 0.5%
Nicholas Karnovsky 21.3% 20.2% 13.9% 14.0% 10.3% 8.8% 5.3% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Hughes 13.6% 12.6% 13.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.6% 9.0% 7.1% 4.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 13.3% 11.6% 14.4% 11.5% 12.8% 11.6% 11.5% 7.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Greta Farrell 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.8% 10.1% 11.7% 12.2% 12.5% 10.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Louis Frumer 3.7% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 9.1% 9.6% 10.9% 15.5% 19.3% 11.8% 4.7% 0.5%
River Iannaccone 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.5% 5.3% 10.8% 27.5% 28.2% 13.6%
Sabrina McDonnell 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.4% 1.9% 3.2% 8.5% 18.5% 63.7%
Jorge Castro 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 7.7% 19.9% 37.8% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.