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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+4.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+2.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09-0.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-2.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81-0.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.40vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.58-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.27-0.43vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.91+0.16vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.03-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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4.57Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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4.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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3.54Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.57University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.16Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.1Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 11.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 18.5% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 21.6% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 25.7% | 29.4% | 13.6% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 8.7% | 18.6% | 63.7% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 20.5% | 37.4% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.