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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+3.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+0.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.58+3.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.27+2.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-1.49vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.91+2.14vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.03+0.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-7.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.81-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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4.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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9.5University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.14Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.03Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.54Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hall | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 18.3% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 23.3% | 28.2% | 15.4% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 20.6% | 60.7% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 34.2% | 22.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 20.6% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.