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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+1.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+1.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+2.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79+0.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-2.14vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.58-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.27+0.60vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.91+1.10vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-0.85vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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4.59Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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4.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.6University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.1Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.15Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.53Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 18.3% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hall | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 24.6% | 30.3% | 12.3% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 8.7% | 20.0% | 61.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 34.9% | 24.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 21.0% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.