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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+2.79vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.58+5.11vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.74vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.97vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-1.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-1.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79-0.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.81-1.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.70vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.91+1.10vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-0.89vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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7.11Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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4.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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3.5Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.1Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.11Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.68University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 18.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 9.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 21.3% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 61.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 18.9% | 36.1% | 22.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 25.5% | 31.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.