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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.47vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+7.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.61vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.62vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+3.55vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+5.37vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.30+3.27vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-1.79vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.58+0.10vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.56-1.51vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-3.08vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.59-0.75vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.06-3.73vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-6.68vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.91-9.61vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.98-10.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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12.27Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.1Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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10.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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13.27Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.2Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Evan Siepert | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% |
| John Stokes | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Kana | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| John Giuliano | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 29.4% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| William Bowman | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.