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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.93vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09-0.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68-0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81+0.63vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.580.00vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-4.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.79-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.27-0.45vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.91+0.15vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.03-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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4.62Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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3.49Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.55University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.15Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.11Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 18.5% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Louis Frumer | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 22.5% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 23.8% | 29.8% | 13.7% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 18.3% | 63.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 20.7% | 37.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.