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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annie Hughes 12.2% 12.7% 11.6% 14.9% 13.6% 12.0% 9.4% 7.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Hall 10.1% 10.6% 13.1% 10.8% 13.9% 11.6% 10.2% 11.2% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 9.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.3% 9.8% 12.1% 14.8% 12.7% 10.3% 5.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Dakota Northrup 18.5% 18.1% 17.3% 11.9% 11.3% 8.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 13.0% 11.9% 12.7% 14.4% 11.0% 11.1% 10.9% 6.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 4.6% 5.4% 7.9% 6.6% 6.6% 12.0% 12.6% 14.2% 14.5% 11.5% 3.8% 0.3%
Louis Frumer 4.5% 6.3% 4.5% 5.5% 8.5% 8.9% 10.1% 13.8% 16.7% 14.2% 5.9% 1.1%
Nicholas Karnovsky 22.5% 18.6% 15.9% 12.9% 10.2% 8.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 3.7% 5.4% 6.1% 10.1% 9.7% 9.1% 13.6% 15.2% 14.9% 9.1% 3.0% 0.1%
River Iannaccone 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 6.4% 11.5% 23.8% 29.8% 13.7%
Sabrina McDonnell 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 3.8% 8.7% 18.3% 63.6%
Jorge Castro 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 3.5% 7.4% 20.7% 37.0% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.