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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+3.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+0.67vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.58+3.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-1.51vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-1.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.81-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.53+0.48vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-1.07vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.91-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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4.54Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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3.49Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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10.48University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.93Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.97Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 11.1% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 19.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 20.9% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 20.2% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 29.4% | 29.0% | 17.8% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 10.3% | 28.8% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.