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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.69vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09-1.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.58+1.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81-0.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-3.55vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.53+1.50vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.91+0.95vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.03-1.06vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.79-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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4.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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3.48Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.45Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.5University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.95Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.94Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hall | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 19.8% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 19.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 19.7% | 36.3% | 28.9% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 12.3% | 25.9% | 50.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 28.6% | 29.8% | 18.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.