Race 1B

neisa-invitational-mit

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Trevor Long 34.3% 24.5% 15.9% 10.4% 7.7% 4.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bennett Capozzi 12.2% 14.1% 16.5% 15.1% 15.5% 12.2% 7.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Jackson McCoy 24.4% 21.5% 19.9% 15.2% 10.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 5.0% 6.2% 8.6% 11.0% 12.9% 15.2% 15.5% 15.4% 8.9% 1.3%
Sarah Caso 5.0% 7.7% 7.4% 9.3% 9.4% 13.1% 17.5% 17.5% 10.3% 2.8%
Steven Honig 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.4% 5.2% 7.7% 11.9% 35.5% 27.4%
Janel DeCurtis 5.8% 8.5% 9.8% 12.2% 14.3% 14.7% 16.4% 10.5% 6.4% 1.4%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.1% 5.1% 8.3% 9.3% 10.6% 12.4% 14.0% 19.9% 13.0% 3.3%
Philip Koch 7.2% 9.9% 10.0% 13.7% 13.0% 15.3% 13.1% 12.2% 4.3% 1.3%
Benjamin Shaiman 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 2.7% 2.2% 3.9% 6.3% 19.6% 62.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.