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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.66+3.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14-0.03vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96+1.10vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+0.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.49-1.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.22+0.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.02vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.51-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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2.97Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.1Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.01Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.12Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 33.0% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 23.9% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 5.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 13.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 3.7% |
| Steven Honig | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 33.9% | 27.1% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 2.7% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 19.2% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.