Race 3B

neisa-invitational-mit

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jackson McCoy 26.7% 23.3% 16.6% 13.3% 10.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Trevor Long 31.4% 24.7% 17.5% 13.9% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Koch 7.7% 7.7% 11.6% 10.1% 13.6% 18.0% 13.5% 12.1% 5.0% 0.7%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 4.1% 6.7% 9.2% 11.0% 12.1% 14.1% 17.7% 15.3% 8.0% 1.8%
Bennett Capozzi 13.1% 15.0% 15.4% 18.1% 13.8% 11.6% 6.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Joseph Chamberlin 5.5% 5.4% 8.0% 8.1% 10.6% 13.6% 15.3% 16.6% 13.7% 3.2%
Janel DeCurtis 5.5% 7.8% 10.7% 12.4% 14.7% 13.8% 14.9% 12.3% 6.7% 1.2%
Steven Honig 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 4.8% 4.8% 7.6% 13.7% 33.5% 28.0%
Benjamin Shaiman 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 3.7% 5.7% 20.4% 61.8%
Sarah Caso 4.3% 7.2% 7.8% 8.9% 11.3% 12.9% 15.9% 17.7% 11.0% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.