Race 4B

neisa-invitational-mit

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Trevor Long 32.7% 24.6% 17.4% 11.7% 6.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Bennett Capozzi 12.5% 13.9% 16.5% 16.8% 14.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Janel DeCurtis 7.1% 6.9% 10.0% 10.4% 13.8% 15.8% 16.2% 12.9% 5.2% 1.7%
Jackson McCoy 22.9% 25.0% 19.3% 15.7% 8.9% 4.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Philip Koch 8.6% 8.9% 9.9% 13.4% 15.1% 15.1% 12.7% 10.8% 4.4% 1.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 8.0% 11.8% 12.2% 15.7% 17.5% 13.8% 3.6%
Sarah Caso 4.0% 5.3% 8.4% 9.3% 11.8% 14.4% 17.0% 17.3% 9.8% 2.7%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 5.0% 7.3% 10.2% 9.9% 11.8% 14.8% 14.9% 15.7% 8.9% 1.5%
Steven Honig 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 3.3% 3.6% 5.8% 6.3% 12.9% 36.4% 27.4%
Benjamin Shaiman 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 6.8% 19.8% 61.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.